Friday 8 February 2008

Future Living?

I read the Usborne Book of the Future at school when I was 7... which was some time ago.

Apparently the book first came out in 1979 and this is how the writers thought things would be today... not bad as a set of predictions... except for the robot serving drinks... and the clothes aren't quite right either!




(click image to open larger version)

Thursday 7 February 2008

Mobiles narrow digital divisions

Mobile phones and net access are helping narrow the gulf between rich and poor nations, says a UN report.
The efficiencies these technologies bring has boosted development in poorer countries, said the UN Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD).
Mobile phone users in developing nations now make up 58% of handset subscribers worldwide, it said.
But it warned that the digital divide meant that developing nations still lagged far behind richer countries.
Big gap
The annual Information Economy report by the UN body looks at the way that science and technology can drive long-term economic growth.
It was now well-established, said the report, that greater use of technology in businesses, schools and at home could raise standards of living and help people prosper.
In many developing nations the mobile phone had become the standard bearer for these changes, it said.
"In Africa, where the increase in terms of the number of mobile phone subscribers and penetration has been greatest, this technology can improve the economic life of the population as a whole," it said.
In rural communities in Uganda, and the small vendors in South Africa, Senegal and Kenya mobile phones were helping traders get better prices, ensure less went to waste and sell goods faster.
The take up of mobiles was allowing developing nations to "leapfrog" some generations of technology such as fixed line telephones and reap more immediate rewards, said the report.
Greater use of computers in small businesses in countries such as Thailand made staff boost productive, it said. A study of Thai manufacturing firms showed that a 10% increase in computer literate staff produced a 3.5% productivity gain.
The developing world was also catching up in terms of net availability. In 2002, said UNCTAD, net availability was ten times higher in developing nations. In 2006, net availability was only six times higher.
But despite the improvements mobiles and greater computer use were bringing in their wake, the report warned that a big gulf remained between rich and poor.
Developed countries still had many more net users and since 2002 had the gap in terms of broadband users had widened.
To make the most of the transformative potential of the net, mobiles and other technologies the UN report recommended that countries update cyber laws, intellectual property regulations, upgrade infrastructure and invest in training.

BBC

Wednesday 6 February 2008

Fraud and the Welfare State

Combating fraud in the welfare stateMonday, September 24, 2007
Adrian Carr at SPSS looks to the private sector for inspiration.

Benefits fraud cost the UK taxpayer £2.6 billion last year and calls to cut this figure back and improve efficiency have never been stronger. Reported holes in the system, the 'one size fits all' approach to service and the automation of request processing are all combining to enable fraudulent claims to slip through the net.

By the very nature of its work, the public sector collects vast amounts of data and information, and the Department for Work and Pensions is no different. This puts it in a strong position to identify fraudulent or inaccurate claims.

However, the downside is that there's a real danger of data deluge leading to information overload. And, if you can't be completely sure whether or not the data is accurate, you're starting out from a weak position. Low confidence in the quality of information means it's barely worth having it in the first place.

Accurate data is the first step to raising user confidence in the insight on file. Once systems and processes are in place to check and verify information, confidence rises and organisations can then analyse data and use the resulting information in their fight against fraud.

To begin the journey towards a reformed welfare state we should be looking to the private sector for inspiration. Plenty of parallels can be drawn with the global insurance and financial sectors for example. Both of these have the same valid aspirations to improve customer service and efficiency and reduce fraud, albeit to the benefit of shareholders rather than tax payers.

A whole host of solutions have been tried and tested in these sectors to achieve these goals, and I've seen various approaches succeed. For instance, an increasing number of companies are using data mining technology to draw on insights from previous customer behaviour to tackle these issues. By trawling through existing data, the technology can be used to identify models and profiles of those who are most likely to make fraudulent claims.

However, while analysis of past behaviour is a good indicator of future activity, there is a need to continue to monitor behaviour as it changes over time. By deploying these proven models in a real-time environment, such as a call centre, they can begin providing agents with caller insight that will help identify potentially fraudulent applications. This approach is known as Predictive Analytics.

As many as 20 of the top 25 global banks are using Predictive Analytics to detect and prevent fraudulent activity and money laundering, as well as to achieve higher standards of customer service. Large international insurance companies such as Corona Direct – Belgium's second-largest direct insurance company, and Natexis Assurances, the insurance division of French bank group Group Banque Populaire – have been using the technology for some time.

Alpha Credit Belgium, a subsidiary of Fortis Bank, is a good example of how Predictive Analytics has been used in the consumer credit business to help assess loan applications on an individual basis. By undertaking data analysis, through planning, data collection, access and management, the bank was able to create continually-updated customer credit profiles.

Having established these, the bank was able to analyse a customer's credit risk on a case-by-case basis, by guiding call centre operators through the initial call, and determining which requests could be fast-tracked and which should be further investigated. Alpha Credit reported that it was then able to accept as many as 90 per cent of loan applications on the spot, by having trusted data on hand that identified customers as 'low risk'. With up-to-date profiles in place, there was also less need for human intervention. The same techniques could easily be applied to the benefits system, and it is easy to see where they could lead to greater efficiency, such as being able to speed up those claims that are genuine by establishing them right from the call centre stage.

Another financial services example is Lloyds TSB which recognised the need for a proactive fraud prevention measure. The company estimated that as many as one in six insurance claims were fraudulent. By using analysis of real-time customer behaviour, within a matter of days a number of models and profiles of fraudulent activity were created to help the bank immediately recognise abnormalities, and Lloyds TSB made an estimated annual saving of £2.5 million.

Applications such as this have enabled private sector companies to better identify potentially fraudulent claims early, leading to a dramatic improvement in insurance claims handling. Along with a reduction in fraud it's prompted an improvement in customer service as legitimate claimants are easily fast-tracked and directly compensated.

We're all aware of the limited resources that the public sector has access to, so it's really important that they are used to their full potential. The expensive fraud investigation resources should be focused where they are needed, instead of being spread too thinly.

By using data to fast-track bona fide claims as early as the initial call and make helpful suggestions about related issues to claimants, many of the processes can be automated. This enables call centre workers to handle a greater volume of calls, or frees up their time to investigate potentially fraudulent claims. I believe that the sharing of information, and making the most of existing public data to act quickly and clamp down on fraudsters, is the easiest step the welfare state can take to achieving efficiency in benefits delivery.

http://www.publicservice.co.uk/feature_story.asp?id=8215

This article seems to use the neo-liberal rhetoric that the private sector can provide the answers to benefit fraud. I personally don't see how there can be such direct comparisons between online-banking which is a service in which banks are free to decline customers and benefit claiming which is a fundamental right of citizenship. A benefit's agency cannot turn down a claimant simply because they may fit a pattern can they?

As discussed last week maybe some form of benefits/Id card is the only way to combat online applications for benefits. Or maybe benefits simply should not be available online???

I do however agree with his point that maybe the sharing of information when it comes to benefits would help speed up applications and reduce fraud. This would however be incredibly hard considering the large numbers of agencies and departments that deal with the different benefits, maybe it's time for a centralised body to co-ordinate the system? Not only would this lead to greater efficiencies and a reduction in fraud (hopefully) it would be a lot easier for claimants to fill out one form to claim for all their benefits at once.

One Laptop Per Child



For those that haven't heard of this scheme it was developed a couple of years ago with the intention of providing children in developing countries with a laptop each for the ultra low cost of $100. This was to be paid directly from governments which would then mean no money would be wasted on marketing etc.

It was pioneered by a MIT professor Nicholas Negroponte at Davos (same place where the Bill Gates video is from). The idea was to get all the big computing countries onboard top donate then help develop the XO laptop, these included giants such as Google, Intel, AMD, Ebay, and Red Hat. Its goal is: "To provide children around the world with new opportunities to explore, experiment and express themselves"

The laptop is by no means a top-of-the-range system and relies on cheap parts and free open-source software. For instance it uses Linux as opposed to Windows as an operating system along with open source office programs. However in recent months Intel have rocked the boat considerably by leaving the group to promote their own laptop in direct competition. http://www.digitaldivide.net/articles/view.php?ArticleID=939 Intel seem to think there is some profit to be made from these low costs laptops and have even gone as far as to employ some dirty marketing tricks to convince companies of their "superior" laptop (see the digital divide article for more details)


Due to the competition and the loss of the Intel chips it has pushed the price up to almost double. They OLPC scheme has also introduced a "buy one, get one free" or "Give one, Get one" type scheme in which people in developed countries such as our own may now buy one for ourselves for around $400 and one is then sent to a child in a developing world.
Check out the website http://laptop.org/ Its a really interesting scheme and product, however a few questions should probably be asked in terms of how effective it will truly be?


digital divide

http://www.digitaldividenetwork.org/

Is a really interesting website which seems to be trying to foster a community around the issues of the digital divide.

Monday 4 February 2008

Presentations

Hi, Just wondering if anyone could possibly swap presentations with me. My topic is in week 6 and it's:
What do Burrows et al mean when they say that internet based neighbourhood information systems (IBNIS) are 'being used to ‘sort’ places and the people who live in them in particular ways'?

Its not out of lazyness, I'm actually physically not in the country so I would really appriciate a swap!
Thank you!